These dates are subject to change, please confer with your local electoral authority as Election Day approaches.
Turnout
Understanding election results by population density is crucial because it reveals voting patterns and strategic areas for engagement. Here’s a breakdown of Republican election performances and total vote contributions by population density since 2012:
- Towns, Rural, and Urban areas have all seen an increase in Republican performances since 2012.
- Suburban areas remain the dominant regions, continuing to grow over the years, where Republicans had a slight turnout advantage in 2016.
The charts below illustrate trends in voter turnout for elections between 2016 and 2022, as well as the differences in turnout among political parties during the same period.
- Active voters have been showing a positive trend in turnout increasing in both the most recent Presidential (+1.8%) and off-cycle (+10.8%) elections.
- Partisan turnout shows Republican voters followed this trend, increasing by 1.9% and 12% for Presidential and off-cycle elections, respectively.
AB/EV
Data Trust collects the AB/EV file from the Pennsylvania Department of State daily, allowing for immediate insights and targeting of individual voters.
- Data Trust has already begun collecting AB/EV files in Pennsylvania, collecting 22 files so far.
- Compared to this point in time in 2020, Republicans have requested 76% of their ballots while Democrats have only requested 69% of their ballots from 2020.
- Pennsylvania shifted from restricting access to absentee mail ballots to unrestricted access during the pandemic, a change they have made permanent, firmly changing the patterns by which voters will cast ballots moving forward in the Keystone State. However, this percentage of the vote from AB/EV is still lower than many other battleground states.
- Republicans consistently show lower utilization of AB/EV methods compared to Democrats and Other party registrants in 2020 and 2022.
